Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

AEK Arena - George Karapatakis

Cyprus
1 - 2
Georgia

Pittas (39' pen.)
Karo (16'), Gogic (52'), Antoniou (56')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mikautadze (31'), Davitashvili (84')
Kakabadze (17'), Sagnol (77')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Cyprus and Georgia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cyprus

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Armenia 2-2 Cyprus
Tuesday, March 28 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	2	5	6
2	Spain	2	1	3
3	Georgia	1	0	1
4	Norway	2	-3	1
5	Cyprus	1	-3	0

Georgia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Georgia 1-1 Norway
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	2	5	6
2	Spain	2	1	3
3	Georgia	1	0	1
4	Norway	2	-3	1
5	Cyprus	1	-3	0

Without a key attacker in Sotiriou and going scoreless in three of their last four home games, the stage is set for a miserable Cypriot evening for Ketsbaia's troops against the ever-improving visitors. Fatigue may very well hamper both sides at the end of a taxing domestic campaign, but the only way is up for Georgia, who should pick up their first win in Group A at the second time of asking. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.

Result
Cyprus	Draw	Georgia
21.55% ( -0.59)	24.86% ( -0.87)	53.58% ( 1.46)

Both teams to score 48.34% (

1.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.65% (

2.64)

53.35% (

-2.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.11% (

2.19)

74.89% (

-2.19)

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.34% (

0.91)

39.66% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.66% (

0.83)

76.34% (

-0.83)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.12% (

1.66)

19.88% (

-1.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.01% (

2.61)

51.99% (

-2.61)

Score Analysis

Cyprus 21.55%

Georgia 53.57%

Draw 24.86%

Cyprus	Draw	Georgia
1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.59) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.37% Total : 21.55%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.85) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.86%	0-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.68) 0-2 @ 10.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 5.54% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.37) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.22) 0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.24) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.74% Total : 53.57%