FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hive Stadium
Barnet1 - 1Chelmsford City
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Barnet and Chelmsford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barnet 0-3 Southend
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Bath City 0-1 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League South
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Chelmsford City |
38.4% ( -0.01) | 23.98% ( -0.03) | 37.61% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.54% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
