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FA Cup
Brighton logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 8, 2025 at 8pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
Chelsea logo

Brighton
2 - 1
Chelsea

Rutter (12'), Mitoma (57')
Rutter (20'), Veltman (27')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Verbruggen (5' og.)
Dewsbury-Hall (14'), Caicedo (68')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion book their place in the fifth round of the FA Cup following a 2-1 victory over Chelsea at the Amex Stadium.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's FA Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Chelsea.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brighton & Hove Albion could line up for Saturday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Chelsea.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's FA Cup fourth round tie at Brighton & Hove Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 7-0 Brighton
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Chelsea

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 West Ham
Monday, February 3 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6%) and 0-2 (5.23%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawChelsea
36.18% (-0.718 -0.72) 22.72% (-0.241 -0.24) 41.09% (0.954 0.95)
Both teams to score 66.26% (0.83 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.41% (1.117 1.12)34.59% (-1.122 -1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.47% (1.245 1.25)56.53% (-1.249 -1.25)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.31% (0.155 0.16)19.68% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.32% (0.255 0.26)51.68% (-0.257 -0.26)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5% (0.872 0.87)17.49% (-0.876 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52% (1.501 1.5)47.99% (-1.505 -1.51)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 36.18%
    Chelsea 41.1%
    Draw 22.72%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-0 @ 5.6% (-0.298 -0.3)
2-0 @ 4.55% (-0.218 -0.22)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.055 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 36.18%
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-2 @ 6.91% (0.068 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.44% (-0.201 -0.2)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.72%
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
0-1 @ 6% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-2 @ 5.23%
1-3 @ 4.94% (0.162 0.16)
2-3 @ 4.02% (0.15 0.15)
0-3 @ 3.04% (0.085 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.15% (0.129 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.75% (0.112 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.073 0.07)
3-4 @ 0.95% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 41.1%

How you voted: Brighton vs Chelsea

Brighton & Hove Albion
18.5%
Draw
15.3%
Chelsea
66.1%
189
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Chelsea
4-2
Brighton
Palmer (21', 28' pen., 31', 41')
Fernandez (29'), Cucurella (33'), Fofana (78')
Rutter (7'), Balepa (34')
Dunk (27'), Estupinan (29')
> Match Report
May 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Brighton
1-2
Chelsea
Welbeck (90+7')
Dunk (29'), Verbruggen (81')
Palmer (34'), Nkunku (64')
Sterling (77'), Caicedo (79')
James (88')
> Match Report
Dec 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Chelsea
3-2
Brighton
Fernandez (17', 65' pen.), Colwill (21')
Gallagher (31'), Badiashile (52'), Fernandez (59'), Sanchez (88')
Gallagher (45')
Buonanotte (43'), Pedro (90+2')
Hinshelwood (45+6'), Julio (58'), Gross (64'), Milner (64'), Pedro (90+14')
> Match Report
Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round
Chelsea
1-0
Brighton
Jackson (50')
Roberto Pochettino Trossero (43'), Ugochukwu (45')

Balepa (42'), Estupinan (45'), Welbeck (90+9')
> Match Report
Jul 23, 2023 12am
Club Friendlies
Chelsea
4-3
Brighton
Nkunku (19'), Mudryk (65'), Gallagher (72'), Jackson (77')
Nkunku (52')
Welbeck (13'), Pedro (79' pen.), Undav (89')
March (37'), Paul van Hecke (57')
Paul van Hecke (60')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489
> Premier League Full Table


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