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Brighton logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 29, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Liverpool logo

Brighton
2 - 1
Liverpool

Dunk (39'), Mitoma (90+2')
Dunk (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Elliott (30')
Bajcetic (17'), Konate (62'), Fabinho (86'), Robertson (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion come from behind to end Liverpool's FA Cup title defence with a 2-1 win over the holders in the fourth round at the Amex Stadium.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's FA Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Liverpool.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Sunday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 2-2 Brighton
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Chelsea
Saturday, January 21 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLiverpool
34.18% (0.741 0.74) 24.01% (0.421 0.42) 41.81% (-1.165 -1.17)
Both teams to score 60.91% (-1.311 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.62% (-1.812 -1.81)41.37% (1.809 1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.23% (-1.863 -1.86)63.77% (1.86 1.86)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (-0.437 -0.44)23.84% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98% (-0.624 -0.62)58.02% (0.622 0.62)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (-1.259 -1.26)20.01% (1.256 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.78% (-2.064 -2.06)52.21% (2.062 2.06)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 34.18%
    Liverpool 41.81%
    Draw 24%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 7.89% (0.143 0.14)
1-0 @ 6.84% (0.465 0.47)
2-0 @ 4.9% (0.275 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.103 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.18%
1-1 @ 11% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 6.35% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.381 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.327 0.33)
0-2 @ 6.17% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.75% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-3 @ 3.31% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 41.81%

How you voted: Brighton vs Liverpool

Brighton & Hove Albion
47.1%
Draw
13.0%
Liverpool
39.8%
261
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Brighton
3-0
Liverpool
March (47', 53'), Welbeck (81')
Dunk (17')

Matip (18'), Henderson (30'), Alexander-Arnold (65')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Liverpool
3-3
Brighton
Firmino (33', 54'), Webster (63' og.)
Trossard (4', 18', 83')
Estupinan (29')
Mar 12, 2022 12.30pm
Brighton
0-2
Liverpool

Bissouma (55'), Mac Allister (75'), Maupay (81')
Diaz (19'), Salah (61' pen.)
Fabinho (84')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Liverpool
2-2
Brighton
Henderson (4'), Mane (24')
Minamino (88'), Robertson (90+4')
Mwepu (41'), Trossard (65')
Lamptey (90'), Duffy (90+1')
Feb 3, 2021 8.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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