Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Southampton1 - 3Brighton
The Match
Match Report
Nathan Jones's first Premier League home game in charge of Southampton ends in a 3-1 loss to Brighton & Hove Albion.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Brighton (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, December 21 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Wednesday, December 21 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
32.36% ( 0.24) | 25.2% ( 0.03) | 42.44% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.12% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
