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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 31, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Arsenal logo

Brighton
2 - 4
Arsenal

Mitoma (65'), Ferguson (77')
Gilmour (45'), March (57'), Sarmiento (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Saka (2'), Odegaard (39'), Nketiah (47'), Martinelli (71')
Magalhaes (45+1'), Partey (45+2'), Saka (54')

The Match

Match Report

Arsenal survive a few scares to record a 4-2 win over Brighton & Hove Albion and go seven points clear of Manchester City at the top of the Premier League table.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Arsenal.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-3 Brighton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League

Arsenal

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 West Ham
Monday, December 26 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawArsenal
29.29% (-0.12 -0.12) 26.5% (-0.067 -0.07) 44.21% (0.187 0.19)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.138 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (0.211 0.21)53.96% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (0.177 0.18)75.41% (-0.175 -0.17)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.73% (0.021000000000001 0.02)33.27% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.12% (0.024000000000001 0.02)69.88% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73% (0.18600000000001 0.19)24.27% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.36% (0.261 0.26)58.64% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 29.29%
    Arsenal 44.21%
    Draw 26.49%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 29.29%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 11.43% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.91% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.09% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.2% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.82% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.35% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 44.21%

How you voted: Brighton vs Arsenal

Brighton & Hove Albion
13.1%
Draw
11.9%
Arsenal
75.1%
337
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Arsenal
1-3
Brighton
Nketiah (20')
Welbeck (27' pen.), Mitoma (58'), Lamptey (71')
Caicedo (8')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Arsenal
1-2
Brighton
Odegaard (89')
Odegaard (39'), Saka (50'), Sambi Lokonga (82')
Trossard (29'), Mwepu (66')
Bissouma (35'), Gross (40'), Caicedo (52'), Sanchez (90+1')
Oct 2, 2021 5.30pm
Brighton
0-0
Arsenal

Maupay (74'), Veltman (82')

Partey (90+1')
May 23, 2021 4pm
Arsenal
2-0
Brighton
Pepe (49', 60')
> Match Report
Dec 29, 2020 6pm
Brighton
0-1
Arsenal

Dunk (59'), Jahanbakhsh (65')
Lacazette (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356
> Premier League Full Table


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