FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Ashton Gate

Bristol City
3 - 0
West Brom

Bell (12', 48'), Scott (28')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Wallace (58'), Furlong (60')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Bristol City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Burnley 2-1 West Brom
Friday, January 20 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol City 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

While West Brom are the favourites for this fixture, Bristol City have as much chance of posting a noteworthy result against an in-form team as they have had all season. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw play out and a replay be scheduled for The Hawthorns. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
31.16% ( -0.1)	25.38% ( -0.02)	43.46% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 55.02% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.42% (

0.07)

48.58% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.3% (

0.07)

70.7% (

-0.07)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.81% (

-0.03)

29.19% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.87% (

-0.03)

65.13% (

0.03)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.7% (

0.09)

22.3% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.24% (

0.13)

55.76% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 31.16%

West Bromwich Albion 43.46%

Draw 25.37%

Bristol City	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.16%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.37%	0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 43.46%