FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round Replays

Jan 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
1 - 2
Bristol City

Cooper (73')
Wood (90+4'), Cundle (94'), Latibeaudiere (120+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sykes (62'), Bell (112')
Pring (75'), Semenyo (120+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Swansea City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Sunderland 1-3 Swansea
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol City

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Bristol City 4-2 Birmingham
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Swansea City 1-0 Bristol City

Both teams will enter this match off the back of impressive Championship wins, and we are expecting Tuesday's contest to be a close affair. It would certainly not be a shock to see Bristol City triumph, but we have a feeling that Swansea will be able to navigate their way to a victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.7%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Bristol City
51.7% ( -0.05)	23.42% ( -0.01)	24.88% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 56.8% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.92% (

0.09)

44.08% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.54% (

0.08)

66.46% (

-0.09)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.91% (

0.01)

17.08% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.73% (

0.02)

47.27% (

-0.02)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.5% (

0.1)

31.5% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.11% (

0.11)

67.88% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 51.7%

Bristol City 24.88%

Draw 23.42%

Swansea City	Draw	Bristol City
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.95% Total : 51.7%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.42%	1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 24.88%