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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
West Brom logo

Burnley
2 - 1
West Brom

Tella (75'), Twine (87')
Maatsen (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Furlong (7')
Furlong (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Burnley and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

Burnley have been unbeatable at home so far this season but now clash with a West Brom side who are firing under Corberan after a difficult spell with Bruce. The Baggies face their toughest assignment since Corberan took charge on Friday night at Turf Moor and you get the feeling they would take a respectable point to keep their unbeaten run going. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a West Bromwich Albion win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
56.37% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 23.94% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 19.69% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.39% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.08% (0.026000000000003 0.03)51.92% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (0.023 0.02)73.66% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (0.021000000000001 0.02)18.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (0.033000000000001 0.03)49.3% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.19% (0.00099999999999767 0)40.81% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.62% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)77.38% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 56.36%
    West Bromwich Albion 19.69%
    Draw 23.93%
BurnleyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 12.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.6% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 56.36%
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 19.69%

How you voted: Burnley vs West Brom

Burnley
62.0%
Draw
23.3%
West Bromwich Albion
14.7%
163
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 8pm
West Brom
1-1
Burnley
Thomas-Asante (90+8')
Button (29')
Rodriguez (30' pen.)
Cork (36'), Harwood-Bellis (50'), Roberts (71'), Taylor (80')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Burnley
0-0
West Brom

Cork (76'), Mee (90+3'), Lowton (90+4')

Ajayi (30')
Oct 19, 2020 5.30pm
Mar 31, 2018 3pm
West Brom
1-2
Burnley
Rondon (84')
Yacob (90')
Barnes (22'), Wood (74')
Barnes (54'), Cork (79'), Pope (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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