FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
1 - 1
Swansea

Semenyo (75')
Naismith (39'), Pring (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Piroe (15')
Allen (45+3'), Wood (62'), Darling (69')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Bristol City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Bristol City
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Burnley
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Swansea City

Although both clubs have struggled of late, there will be a level of encouragement from their recent results. It remains a difficult match to call, yet we feel that Swansea's greater attacking threat could prove key at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Swansea City
28.55% ( 0.41)	24.88% ( 0.19)	46.57% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 55.18% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.3% (

-0.57)

47.7% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.1% (

-0.52)

69.89% (

0.52)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.43% (

0.01)

30.56% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.21% (

0.01)

66.79% (

-0.02)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.46% (

-0.49)

20.53% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.96% (

-0.77)

53.04% (

0.77)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 28.55%

Swansea City 46.57%

Draw 24.87%

Bristol City	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 28.55%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.72% Total : 46.57%