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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Bristol City

Millwall
0 - 0
Bristol City

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Millwall and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 0-2 Millwall
Monday, December 26 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-0 Bristol City

Millwall are back at The Den after a successful trip to Watford and will be fully confident in collecting another three points on Thursday night. The Bristol City camp seems a very unhappy place to be at the moment, and at a ground where you need to stick together and fight for a result, it is hard to see the Robins getting anything for their efforts in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 14.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawBristol City
63.8% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 21.91% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 14.3% (-0.045 -0.04)
Both teams to score 43.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7% (0.036000000000001 0.04)52.31% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (0.030999999999999 0.03)74% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.21% (0.038999999999987 0.04)15.79% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.06% (0.07 0.07)44.94% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.1% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)47.9% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.84% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)83.16% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 63.79%
    Bristol City 14.3%
    Draw 21.9%
MillwallDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 13.96%
2-0 @ 12.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 7.93% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.66% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 63.79%
1-1 @ 10.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 21.9%
0-1 @ 5.57% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 14.3%

How you voted: Millwall vs Bristol City

Millwall
86.8%
Draw
10.3%
Bristol City
2.9%
68
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Jan 2, 2022 1pm
Bristol City
3-2
Millwall
Weimann (7', 73', 85')
Towler (28'), O'Dowda (48'), Semenyo (67'), Wells (90+4')
Bradshaw (23'), Afobe (29' pen.)
Cooper (20'), Afobe (84')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Millwall
4-1
Bristol City
Wallace (5'), Malone (31'), Mitchell (52'), Bradshaw (58')
Mitchell (45'), McNamara (68')
Conway (16')
Baker (73')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Fourth Round
Millwall
0-3
Bristol City
Diedhiou (32' pen.), Wells (58'), Semenyo (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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