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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Bristol City

Millwall
0 - 0
Bristol City

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Millwall and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 0-2 Millwall
Monday, December 26 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-0 Bristol City

Millwall are back at The Den after a successful trip to Watford and will be fully confident in collecting another three points on Thursday night. The Bristol City camp seems a very unhappy place to be at the moment, and at a ground where you need to stick together and fight for a result, it is hard to see the Robins getting anything for their efforts in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 14.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawBristol City
63.8% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 21.91% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 14.3% (-0.045 -0.04)
Both teams to score 43.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7% (0.036000000000001 0.04)52.31% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (0.030999999999999 0.03)74% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.21% (0.038999999999987 0.04)15.79% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.06% (0.07 0.07)44.94% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.1% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)47.9% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.84% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)83.16% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 63.79%
    Bristol City 14.3%
    Draw 21.9%
MillwallDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 13.96%
2-0 @ 12.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 7.93% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.66% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 63.79%
1-1 @ 10.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 21.9%
0-1 @ 5.57% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 14.3%

How you voted: Millwall vs Bristol City

Millwall
86.8%
Draw
10.3%
Bristol City
2.9%
68
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Jan 2, 2022 1pm
Bristol City
3-2
Millwall
Weimann (7', 73', 85')
Towler (28'), O'Dowda (48'), Semenyo (67'), Wells (90+4')
Bradshaw (23'), Afobe (29' pen.)
Cooper (20'), Afobe (84')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Millwall
4-1
Bristol City
Wallace (5'), Malone (31'), Mitchell (52'), Bradshaw (58')
Mitchell (45'), McNamara (68')
Conway (16')
Baker (73')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Fourth Round
Millwall
0-3
Bristol City
Diedhiou (32' pen.), Wells (58'), Semenyo (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Bills
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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