Championship

Championship | Gameweek 27

Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
4 - 2
Birmingham

Semenyo (17'), Wells (21'), Sykes (47', 66')
Pring (33'), Semenyo (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Deeney (34' pen.), Khadra (76')
Long (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Swansea
Sunday, January 8 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Middlesbrough
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Birmingham City

The pressure is currently on these two relatively-big Championship sides as they bid to avoid a relegation battle this campaign. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a draw played out, one which will not necessarily benefit either club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Birmingham City
42.43% ( -0.02)	27.86% ( -0)	29.71% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 46.78% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.14% (

0.01)

58.86% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.64% (

0.01)

79.36% (

-0.01)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.58%

27.42% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.1% (

-0)

62.89% (

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.45% (

0.02)

35.55% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.68% (

0.02)

72.32% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 42.43%

Birmingham City 29.71%

Draw 27.86%

Bristol City	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 12.61% 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 42.43%	1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.75% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.86%	0-1 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 29.71%