FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Replays

Nov 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
3 - 1
Northampton

Knibbs (13'), Smith (40'), Worman (48')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rose (75')
McGowan (82')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Replays clash between Cambridge United and Northampton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Cambridge United	Draw	Northampton Town
31.19%	26.96%	41.85%

Both teams to score 50.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.98%

55.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.71%

76.29%

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.57%

32.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.05%

68.95%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.05%

25.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.05%

60.95%

Score Analysis

Cambridge United 31.19%

Northampton Town 41.85%

Draw 26.95%

Cambridge United	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 9.48% 2-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 2.7% 3-0 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.19%	1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.42% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.95%	0-1 @ 11.35% 1-2 @ 8.62% 0-2 @ 7.66% 1-3 @ 3.88% 0-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.24% Total : 41.85%