FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace1 - 2Southampton
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ward-Prowse (37'), Armstrong (68')
Perraud (59'), Caleta-Car (67'), Ward-Prowse (75'), Walker-Peters (88')
Perraud (59'), Caleta-Car (67'), Ward-Prowse (75'), Walker-Peters (88')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-4 Spurs
Wednesday, January 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Wednesday, January 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.30pm in Premier League
We said: Crystal Palace 2-1 Southampton
It is always difficult to know what to expect when two Premier League sides meet in the early rounds of the FA Cup, as both managers will make changes to their sides. Southampton are really difficult to back at the moment due to their struggles, though, so we have had to side with the home team on this occasion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Southampton |
43.06% ( 1.7) | 25.61% ( -0.46) | 31.33% ( -1.24) |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( 1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.48% ( 1.55) | 49.52% ( -1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.45% ( 1.38) | 71.55% ( -1.38) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( 1.52) | 22.9% ( -1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.35% ( 2.19) | 56.65% ( -2.19) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.46% ( -0.05) | 29.54% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.43% ( -0.06) | 65.57% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace 43.06%
Southampton 31.33%
Draw 25.6%
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Southampton |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.3)3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.06% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.44)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.33% |
How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Southampton
Crystal Palace
72.9%Draw
12.9%Southampton
14.1%85
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
May 11, 2021 8.15pm
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Form Guide
