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EFL Cup
Southampton logo
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Lincoln City

Southampton
2 - 1
Lincoln

Adams (25', 74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bazunu (2' og.)
O'Connor (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Southampton and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Southampton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Premier League

Lincoln City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Lincoln 4-2 Everton U21s
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Southampton 2-0 Lincoln City

 With no game at the weekend, Lincoln make the long trip to the South coast fully refreshed. However, they are likely to take on a Saints side full of first-team players, leading us to predict a comfortable victory for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLincoln City
49.09% (-0.329 -0.33) 23.78% (-0.129 -0.13) 27.13% (0.455 0.45)
Both teams to score 57.74% (0.842 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.17% (0.929 0.93)43.83% (-0.932 -0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78% (0.902 0.9)66.22% (-0.904 -0.9)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.03% (0.22999999999999 0.23)17.97% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.18% (0.39400000000001 0.39)48.82% (-0.395 -0.4)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (0.82900000000001 0.83)29.61% (-0.831 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (0.997 1)65.65% (-0.999 -1)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 49.09%
    Lincoln City 27.13%
    Draw 23.78%
SouthamptonDrawLincoln City
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.306 -0.31)
2-0 @ 7.84% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.092 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 49.09%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.118 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.94% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 27.13%

How you voted: Southampton vs Lincoln

Southampton
67.5%
Draw
10.0%
Lincoln City
22.5%
80
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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