MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 04:13:44| >> :600:1318088:1318088:
Southampton logo
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Lincoln City

Southampton
2 - 1
Lincoln

Adams (25', 74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bazunu (2' og.)
O'Connor (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Southampton and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Southampton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Lincoln 4-2 Everton U21s
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Southampton 2-0 Lincoln City

With no game at the weekend, Lincoln make the long trip to the South coast fully refreshed. However, they are likely to take on a Saints side full of first-team players, leading us to predict a comfortable victory for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLincoln City
49.09% (-0.329 -0.33) 23.78% (-0.129 -0.13) 27.13% (0.455 0.45)
Both teams to score 57.74% (0.842 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.17% (0.929 0.93)43.83% (-0.932 -0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78% (0.902 0.9)66.22% (-0.904 -0.9)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.03% (0.22999999999999 0.23)17.97% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.18% (0.39400000000001 0.39)48.82% (-0.395 -0.4)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (0.82900000000001 0.83)29.61% (-0.831 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (0.997 1)65.65% (-0.999 -1)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 49.09%
    Lincoln City 27.13%
    Draw 23.78%
SouthamptonDrawLincoln City
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.306 -0.31)
2-0 @ 7.84% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.092 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 49.09%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.118 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.94% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 27.13%

How you voted: Southampton vs Lincoln

Southampton
67.5%
Draw
10.0%
Lincoln City
22.5%
80
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
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