EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton1 - 1Sheff Weds
Southampton win 6-5 on penalties
The Match
Match Report
Southampton progress to the fourth round of the EFL Cup by beating League One side Sheffield Wednesday on penalties.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Southampton and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Southampton 1-4 Newcastle
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Morecambe
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%).
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
28.31% ( -0.1) | 23.19% ( -0.02) | 48.51% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 60.78% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
