FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 27, 2024 at 7pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
0 - 2
Newcastle

FT(HT: 0-1)

Longstaff (39'), Burn (61')
Schar (20')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United get away with a rather unconvincing performance as they overcome Fulham 2-0 at Craven Cottage to reach the fifth round of the FA Cup.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Fulham and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Fulham 1-1 Liverpool
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Newcastle 2-3 Man City
Saturday, January 13 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Newcastle United in this match.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Newcastle United
46.46% ( 0.22)	23.38% ( -0.06)	30.16% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 61.39% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.01% (

0.2)

39.98% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.65% (

0.2)

62.35% (

-0.21)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.49% (

0.16)

17.51% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.98% (

0.28)

48.02% (

-0.29)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.43% (

-0)

25.57% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.56% (

-0.01)

60.44% (

Score Analysis

Fulham 46.46%

Newcastle United 30.16%

Draw 23.37%

Fulham	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.93% Total : 46.46%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.37%	1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.16%