Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 74.11%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 9.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.07%) and 3-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
74.11% ( -0.01) | 16.78% ( 0.01) | 9.11% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 43.28% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.27% ( -0.01) | 43.73% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.88% ( -0.01) | 66.12% ( 0.01) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.77% ( -0.01) | 10.23% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.44% ( -0.01) | 33.56% ( 0.02) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.21% ( 0.01) | 51.78% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.14% ( 0.01) | 85.86% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
2-0 @ 13.76% 1-0 @ 12.07% 3-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.96% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.27% 5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.29% 6-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 74.1% | 1-1 @ 7.95% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 16.78% | 0-1 @ 3.49% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.62% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 9.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
8 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
10 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
> Premier League Full Table |