FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Hull City1 - 1Birmingham
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jutkiewicz (18')
Jutkiewicz (39'), Sanderson (43'), Dembele (57'), Etheridge (75'), Bielik (86'), James (90+4')
Jutkiewicz (39'), Sanderson (43'), Dembele (57'), Etheridge (75'), Bielik (86'), James (90+4')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-1 Hull City
Monday, January 1 at 5.15pm in Championship
Monday, January 1 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Birmingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Hull City 1-0 Birmingham City
Hull will be favourites to progress here considering Birmingham's lack of confidence, but the Tigers could have been handed an easier draw in the third round. Blues are likely to adopt a defence-minded approach as they look to steady the ship ahead of the new manager's arrival, although we believe that Saturday afternoon will end in defeat for Spooner's side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Birmingham City |
51.61% ( -0.01) | 23.49% ( -0) | 24.9% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.6% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% ( 0.01) | 44.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.27% ( 0.01) | 66.73% ( -0.01) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.78% ( 0) | 17.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.49% ( 0) | 47.51% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( 0.02) | 31.62% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.97% ( 0.02) | 68.03% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Hull City 51.61%
Birmingham City 24.9%
Draw 23.48%
| Hull City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.43% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.69% 3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 3.89% Total : 51.61% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.27% 0-2 @ 3.61% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 24.9% |
How you voted: Hull City vs Birmingham
Hull City
72.7%Draw
21.2%Birmingham City
6.1%33
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Birmingham
0-2
Hull City
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 16, 2022 3.20pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
