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Birmingham logo
Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Andrew's
Hull logo

Birmingham
0 - 0
Hull City

FT

Jones (46')

Preview: Birmingham City vs. Hull City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Birmingham City and Hull City meet on Saturday afternoon with both clubs struggling for consistency as they see their respective seasons peter out.

The Blues are currently 18th in the Championship table on 40 points, three points ahead of the Tigers who sit in 20th.


Match preview

Birmingham City's Onel Hernandez celebrates scoring their first goal with Lukas Jutkiewicz on January 22, 2022© Reuters

Birmingham won for only the second time in nine matches as they triumphed 2-1 away at Bristol City last weekend.

Manchester United loanee Tahith Chong scored his first goal in English football and academy graduate Nico Gordon netted his first senior goal.

Lee Bowyer's side have won just once in their last four games at St Andrew's and only two teams have conceded more goals at home in the Championship this season.

The Blues are winless in their last five meetings with Hull and lost 2-0 at the MKM Stadium in this season's reverse fixture in November.

Hull City manager Shota Arveladze on February 8, 2022© Reuters

However, the Tigers have an atrocious record at St Andrew's, having won on only two of their 31 visits over the last 111 years.

The current side are unbeaten in three away games though, their joint-longest run without defeat on the road this season.

Shota Arveladze has won just two of his nine games in charge after replacing Grant McCann following the club's takeover in January.

Former manager Steve Bruce got the better of Hull last weekend as his West Brom side won 2-0 at the MKM Stadium.

Only Peterborough United and Barnsley (both 25) have scored fewer goals in the Championship this season than the Tigers (30).

Birmingham City Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W

Hull City Championship form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Birmingham City manager Lee Bowyer celebrates scoring their first goal on January 30, 2022© Reuters

Jeremie Bela is set to return for Birmingham after missing last weekend's win over Bristol City through illness.

Centre-back Teden Mengi will also be available for selection again after recovering from a hamstring injury that has ruled him out of the last four games.

Maxime Colin could train for the first time on Friday following a thigh problem, but is unlikely to be ready for the match. George Friend and Troy Deeney remain sidelined.

Hull will be boosted by the return of Marcus Forss, who has missed the last two games with a hamstring injury.

Tom Eaves and Allahyar Sayyadmanesh both made their returns from the sidelines as substitutes last weekend, so are also contenders to start if Shota Arveladze wants to shake up his attack.

Mallik Wilks is nearing a return to fitness, but Nathan Baxter, Lewie Coyle and Josh Emmanuel are all long-term absentees.

Birmingham City possible starting lineup:
Etheridge; Gordon, Roberts, Pedersen; Graham, Gardner, Bacuna, Bela; Hernandez, Taylor, Chong

Hull City possible starting lineup:
Ingram; Jones, Greaves, McLoughlin; Longman, Docherty, Smallwood, Fleming; Honeyman, Lewis-Potter; Forss


SM words green background

We say: Birmingham City 2-1 Hull City

Both teams have struggled for victories of late, but they should each see this as a winnable fixture against a club in a similar position. We think that Birmingham will just edge it as they are looking a stronger side as they continue to get players back from injury.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Birmingham vs Hull City

Birmingham City
72.9%
Draw
10.4%
Hull City
16.7%
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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