Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Birmingham1 - 3Stoke
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Birmingham
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Stoke City
Birmingham have improved offensively during the last few matches and could display their progression against a Stoke side who are in the midst of a woeful winless run. The Potters looked more organised under the stewardship of Schumacher last time out, but we are predicting a Boxing Day defeat for the visitors at St Andrew's. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Stoke City |
33.61% ( -0.9) | 25.51% ( -0.39) | 40.88% ( 1.28) |
| Both teams to score 55.47% ( 1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
