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FA Cup
Salford City
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Moor Lane
Cheltenham Town

Salford City
2 - 0
Cheltenham

Okoronkko (20'), Stockton (22' pen.)
Taylor (24'), Lund (52'), Austerfield (56'), N'Mai (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Stubbs (86'), Jude-Boyd (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Salford City and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Doncaster 1-1 Salford City
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Tranmere
Friday, November 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 2-1 Cheltenham Town

 Salford have won three of their previous four competitive home matches against Cheltenham, and we think that they will enjoy more home success on Saturday, especially as they will take confidence from the fact that they have already beaten the Robins at the Peninsula Stadium this season, claiming a narrow win when the two sides faced off in September. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 52%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawCheltenham Town
52% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 22.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.26% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 59.53% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)40.65% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.96% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)63.04% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (0.010999999999996 0.01)15.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)44.82% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.64% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)29.36% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.66% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)65.34% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 52%
    Cheltenham Town 25.26%
    Draw 22.74%
Salford CityDrawCheltenham Town
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0029999999999983 0)
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.87% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 52%
1-1 @ 10.46%
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 25.26%

How you voted: Salford City vs Cheltenham

Salford City
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Cheltenham Town
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Salford City
2-1
Cheltenham
Adelakun (60', 86')
Chesters (90+2'), (90+2')
Archer (48')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Cheltenham
3-1
Salford City
Broom (44'), Sercombe (65'), Goodwin (66')
Hendry (13')
> Preview
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Cheltenham
2-0
Salford City
Long (3'), Sercombe (41')
Sercombe (16'), Thomas (64')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 17
Salford City
0-0
Cheltenham
Henderson (58')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 46
Cheltenham
P-P
Salford City
rhs 2.0
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