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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Salford City |
44.99% ( 0.07) | 25.1% ( -0) | 29.91% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 55.28% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.04% ( -0.02) | 47.96% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.87% ( -0.02) | 70.13% ( 0.02) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.66% ( 0.03) | 21.34% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.7% ( 0.04) | 54.29% ( -0.04) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.27% ( -0.06) | 29.73% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.21% ( -0.07) | 65.79% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.51% Total : 44.99% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 29.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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