Spurs1 - 0Burnley
The Match
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Sunday, December 31 at 2pm in Premier League
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Premier League
We said: Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 Burnley
Burnley's last six FA Cup ties against Premier League opposition have produced a total of 28 goals at an average of 4.7 per game, while at least three goals have been scored in 10 of Tottenham's last 11 matches in all competitions, so plenty of goalmouth action could be in store on Friday. Although Spurs are missing a number of first-team regulars, Postecoglou still has enough strength in depth to field a reasonably strong side capable of outscoring a defensively frail Clarets outfit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 59.67%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 20.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 1-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Burnley |
59.67% ( -0.01) | 20.06% ( 0) | 20.26% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 62.39% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
