Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 19

Dec 26, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
0 - 2
Liverpool

Berge (22'), O'Shea (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Nunez (6'), Jota (90')
Alexander-Arnold (77')

Jurgen Klopp laments "insane" Mohamed Salah offside decision in Burnley win

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp criticises the "insane" decision to disallow Harvey Elliott's goal in the Reds' 2-0 Premier League win over Burnley.

Dec 26, 20:39

Darwin Nunez celebrates scoring for Liverpool on December 26, 2023

Darwin Nunez achieves Liverpool first in Burnley victory

Darwin Nunez achieves a personal goalscoring first for Liverpool as the Reds move to the top of the Premier League table with a 2-0 win over Burnley.

Dec 26, 21:20

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Fulham 0-2 Burnley
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Liverpool

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Arsenal
Saturday, December 23 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Liverpool
29.78% ( -0.24)	21.17% ( -0.04)	49.05% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 69.48% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.69% (

0.04)

29.31% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.64% (

0.04)

50.35% (

-0.04)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.52% (

-0.12)

20.47% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.05% (

-0.19)

52.94% (

0.18)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.37% (

0.1)

12.63% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.24% (

0.2)

38.76% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Burnley 29.78%

Liverpool 49.05%

Draw 21.17%

Burnley	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 29.78%	1-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.54% ( -0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.17%	1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.06% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.13% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.49% Total : 49.05%