Club Friendlies
Aug 4, 2024 at 12am UK
MetLife Stadium
Paz (82')
Martin Rielves (76'), Ramon Naveros (90')
FT (HT: 0-1)
Victor Delgado (42', 54')
Bernal Casas (67'),
Fort (90+2')
We said: Real Madrid 2-2 Barcelona
Matches between these two sides always mean something, even pre-season friendlies, and neither manager will want to lose, that is for certain. We are expecting it to be an entertaining affair between two strong outfits, with the spoils potentially being shared on Saturday evening.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.39% . A win for Barcelona had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.09%) and 1-0 (6.7%) . The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (5.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match.
Result Real Madrid Draw Barcelona 55.39% ( 2.46) 20.82% ( -0.97) 23.79% ( -1.49)
Both teams to score 64.85% ( 1.86)
67.07% ( 3.18) 32.93% ( -3.18)
45.35% ( 3.57) 54.65% ( -3.57)
87.98% ( 1.8) 12.02% ( -1.8)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 62.51% ( 3.69) 37.49% ( -3.69)
73.71% ( 0.62) 26.29% ( -0.62)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.59% ( 0.82) 61.41% ( -0.82)
Real Madrid 55.39%
Barcelona 23.79%
Draw 20.82%
Real Madrid Draw Barcelona 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.67) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.39) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.42) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.28) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.32) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.27) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.18) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.16) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.71% Total : 55.39% 1-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.72) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.56) 3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.82% 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.66) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.1% Total : 23.79%
How you voted: Barcelona vs Real Madrid
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rhs 2.0
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