Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.