MX23RW : Sunday, September 1 23:02:52| >> :60:197:197:
Eastleigh
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 19, 2024 at 7pm UK
Silverlake Stadium
Southampton logo

Eastleigh
1 - 7
Southampton

Quigley (57')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Armstrong (7', 17'), Smallbone (39'), Mara (50' pen.), Manning (71'), Sugawara (78'), Alcaraz (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Eastleigh and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastleigh 0-3 Halifax
Saturday, April 20 at 12.15pm in National League
Last Game: Leeds 0-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Eastleigh 1-3 Southampton

Having already started their pre-season schedule last week, Eastleigh could be the sharper of the sides and cause their Premier League opponents some issues. That being said, the Saints have enough quality within their ranks to rack up a couple of goals at Silverlake Stadium, where the visitors should kick-start their summer itinerary with a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 73.12%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 10.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-3 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 2-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
EastleighDrawSouthampton
10.96% (0.139 0.14) 15.93% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 73.12% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Both teams to score 54.01% (0.17 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.33% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)33.67% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.51% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)55.49% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.67% (0.222 0.22)41.33% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.15% (0.194 0.19)77.85% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.05% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)7.95% (0.059 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.93% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)28.07% (0.148 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Eastleigh 10.96%
    Southampton 73.12%
    Draw 15.93%
EastleighDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 3.25% (0.036 0.04)
1-0 @ 2.9% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.28% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.21% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 0.96% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 10.96%
1-1 @ 7.35% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.11% (0.034 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.93%
0-2 @ 10.53% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 8.89% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 5.63% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 4.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.47% (0.019 0.02)
0-5 @ 2.85% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-5 @ 2.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-6 @ 1.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.11%
1-6 @ 1.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 73.12%

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