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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 72.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 11.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 3-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-2 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Stoke City |
72.3% (![]() | 15.9% (![]() | 11.81% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.37% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.06% (![]() | 30.94% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.68% (![]() | 52.32% (![]() |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.53% (![]() | 7.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.16% (![]() | 26.84% (![]() |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62% (![]() | 38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.24% (![]() | 74.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Stoke City |
2-0 @ 9.55% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.24% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.99% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.36% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.87% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 3.83% Total : 72.3% | 1-1 @ 7.12% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 15.9% | 1-2 @ 3.45% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 1.73% Total : 11.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 72 | 23 | 49 | 76 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 76 |
3 | Burnley | 36 | 20 | 14 | 2 | 49 | 10 | 39 | 74 |
4 | Sunderland | 36 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 54 | 33 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 56 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 36 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 55 |
7 | Bristol City | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 53 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 52 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 50 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 49 |
11 | Watford | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 49 |
12 | Millwall | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 48 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 48 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 44 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 44 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 36 | 9 | 16 | 11 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 43 |
17 | Portsmouth | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 39 |
19 | Hull City | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 37 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 36 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 59 | -20 | 36 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 32 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 31 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 30 |
> Championship Full Table |