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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 72.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 11.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 3-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-2 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Stoke City |
72.3% (![]() | 15.9% (![]() | 11.81% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.37% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.06% (![]() | 30.94% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.68% (![]() | 52.32% (![]() |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.53% (![]() | 7.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.16% (![]() | 26.84% (![]() |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62% (![]() | 38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.24% (![]() | 74.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Stoke City |
2-0 @ 9.55% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.24% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.99% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.36% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.87% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 3.83% Total : 72.3% | 1-1 @ 7.12% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 15.9% | 1-2 @ 3.45% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 1.73% Total : 11.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |