MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 00:02:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 38
Apr 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
King Power Stadium
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Leicester
5 - 0
Southampton

Fatawu (25', 75', 81'), Ndidi (62'), Vardy (79')
Vestergaard (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 West Brom
Saturday, April 20 at 12.30pm in Championship

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Southampton
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 3-1 Southampton

 Although not at their best versus West Brom - particular during the first period - Leicester got the job done, and we can imagine a similar narrative unfolding on Tuesday night. Southampton will be sapped of energy following Saturday's last-minute defeat at Cardiff, so we are predicting back-to-back losses for the Saints. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.64%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawSouthampton
52.64%22.1% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.26%
Both teams to score 61.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.38% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)37.62% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.14% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)59.86% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.56% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)14.44% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)42.38% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)63.3% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 52.64%
    Southampton 25.26%
    Draw 22.1%
Leicester CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.62%
1-0 @ 7.75% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 7.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.2%
3-0 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.34%
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 52.64%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.1%
1-2 @ 6.37%
0-1 @ 5.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.73%
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 25.26%

How you voted: Leicester vs Southampton

Leicester City
77.8%
Draw
12.7%
Southampton
9.5%
221
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> Preview
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> Preview
May 22, 2022 4pm
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> Preview
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
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> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730
> Championship Full Table


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