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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.64%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Southampton |
52.64% | 22.1% (![]() | 25.26% |
Both teams to score 61.83% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.38% (![]() | 37.62% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.14% (![]() | 59.86% (![]() |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.56% (![]() | 14.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.62% (![]() | 42.38% (![]() |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.27% (![]() | 27.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.7% (![]() | 63.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 9.62% 1-0 @ 7.75% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.5% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.2% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.42% Total : 52.64% | 1-1 @ 9.94% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 4% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.1% | 1-2 @ 6.37% 0-1 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.69% Total : 25.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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