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Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 at 1pm UK
Erzgebirgsstadion

Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 3
Carl Zeiss

Nkansah (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Richter (1'), Loder (19'), Gipson (53')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Carl Zeiss Jena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Erzgebirge Aue 1-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, July 17 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Carl Zeiss 2-1 ZFC Meuselwitz
Tuesday, July 16 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erzgebirge Aue win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Carl Zeiss Jena had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Carl Zeiss Jena win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Erzgebirge AueDrawCarl Zeiss Jena
46.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.26%30.17% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 61.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.61% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)39.39% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.27%61.73% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)17.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.54%
Carl Zeiss Jena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73%25.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97% (0.00099999999999767 0)60.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Erzgebirge Aue 46.57%
    Carl Zeiss Jena 30.17%
    Draw 23.25%
Erzgebirge AueDrawCarl Zeiss Jena
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.66%
2-0 @ 6.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.43%
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.73%
4-1 @ 2.39%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 46.57%
1-1 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 6.37%
0-0 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.25%
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.99%
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 3.32%
2-3 @ 2.92%
0-3 @ 1.89%
1-4 @ 1.14%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.17%

rhs 2.0
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