MX23RW : Friday, November 22 04:47:20| >> :600:765747:765747:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 12pm UK
Ernst-Abbe-Sportfeld
Hertha Berlin logo

Carl Zeiss
0 - 5
Hertha Berlin


Hehne (14'), Lammel (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dardai (6'), Tabakovic (47'), Richter (49', 52'), Uremovic (59')
Gechter (75')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Carl Zeiss Jena and Hertha Berlin.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Carl Zeiss 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, July 30 at 5.01pm in DFB-Pokal
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Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-1 Wiesbaden
Friday, August 4 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Carl Zeiss Jena had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Carl Zeiss Jena win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.

Result
Carl Zeiss JenaDrawHertha Berlin
27.55% (0.023 0.02) 24.63% (0.023 0.02) 47.82% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.26% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)47.25% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.53% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)69.48% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Carl Zeiss Jena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)31.08% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)67.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)19.82% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.1% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)51.9% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Carl Zeiss Jena 27.55%
    Hertha Berlin 47.82%
    Draw 24.63%
Carl Zeiss JenaDrawHertha Berlin
1-0 @ 7.2% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.21% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 27.55%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 9.97% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 8.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 5.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 47.82%

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