Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 56.41%. A win for Carl Zeiss Jena had a probability of 21.83% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Carl Zeiss Jena win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.