MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 09:35:35| >> :60:69:69:
Hibs logo
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2024 at 7pm UK
Easter Road Stadium
Watford logo

Hibernian
2 - 3
Watford

Campbell (16'), McKirdy (53')
(44')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Louza (30'), Vata (35'), Nabizada (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Hibernian and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-0 Hibernian
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Gillingham 2-0 Watford
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Hibernian 2-1 Watford

While Hibernian fell to an underwhelming defeat in their last outing, Watford have been lacklustre throughout their pre-season, and we expect that trend to continue with a victory for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 40%. A win for Watford had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
HibernianDrawWatford
40% (0.062000000000005 0.06) 24.7% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 35.3% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.67% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)44.41% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.22% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)66.78% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.84% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)22.16% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)55.56% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)24.63% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)59.14% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 40%
    Watford 35.3%
    Draw 24.69%
HibernianDrawWatford
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.22% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.2% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 40%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.36% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.3%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Watford

Hibernian
44.4%
Draw
18.5%
Watford
37.0%
27
rhs 2.0
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