Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
43.09% ( 0.68) | 24.26% ( 0.03) | 32.64% ( -0.71) |
Both teams to score 59.48% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.97% ( -0.35) | 43.03% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.57% ( -0.35) | 65.43% ( 0.35) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.86% ( 0.16) | 20.14% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.59% ( 0.25) | 52.41% ( -0.25) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.48% ( -0.59) | 25.52% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.62% ( -0.81) | 60.37% ( 0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Motherwell | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
6 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
7 | St Mirren | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
8 | Ross County | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
11 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
12 | Hibernian | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 12 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |