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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Sunderland

Watford
1 - 0
Sunderland

Andrews (64')
Kayembe (10'), Lewis (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Nien (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Sunderland

Wins have been in short supply for both teams of late and we certainly do not expect many goals in this contest. Both teams may feel content not to suffer defeat, leading us to predict a dull stalemate at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawSunderland
39.87% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 26.22% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 33.91% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.18% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.62% (0.045999999999999 0.05)51.38% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8% (0.041 0.04)73.19% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)25.33% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (0.009999999999998 0.01)60.11% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22% (0.044999999999987 0.04)28.78% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.37% (0.055 0.05)64.63% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Watford 39.87%
    Sunderland 33.91%
    Draw 26.21%
WatfordDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.92%
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 39.87%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 33.91%

How you voted: Watford vs Sunderland

Watford
61.9%
Draw
28.6%
Sunderland
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Sunderland
2-0
Watford
Huggins (43'), Ba (62')
Burstow (50')

Ngakia (27'), Dele-Bashiru (58'), Bachmann (74'), Louza (74'), Porteous (83')
Andrews (87')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Sunderland
2-2
Watford
O'Nien (70'), Roberts (90+5')
Kabasele (17'), Porteous (69')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Watford
2-2
Sunderland
Davis (34'), O'Nien (62' og.)
Alese (45'), Bennette (87')
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-0
Sunderland
Britos (59')
Capoue (93')

Jones (72'), Khazri (77'), Kone (78')
Dec 17, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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