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Mainz logo
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadion am Bruchweg

Mainz
3 - 1
Preussen Munster

Sieb (33'), Nebel (73'), Onisiwo (75')
(60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Makridis (90')
(64')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Mainz 05 and Preussen Munster.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eintracht Trier 3-0 Mainz
Thursday, July 18 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 67.05%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Preussen Munster had a probability of 14.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Preussen Munster win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawPreussen Munster
67.05% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 18.02% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 14.93% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Both teams to score 58.53% (-0.105 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.25% (-0.128 -0.13)33.75% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.42% (-0.146 -0.15)55.58% (0.148 0.15)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.7% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)9.3% (0.039899999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.6% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)31.4% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Preussen Munster Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)35.46% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)72.23% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 67.06%
    Preussen Munster 14.93%
    Draw 18.02%
Mainz 05DrawPreussen Munster
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-2 @ 1.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4.71%
Total : 67.06%
1-1 @ 8.12% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.3% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.02%
1-2 @ 4.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 3.42% (0.015 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.77% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 14.93%

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