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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Preussen-Stadion
Bayern logo

Preussen Munster
0 - 4
Bayern


Kankam Kyerewaa (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (9'), Laimer (40'), Kratzig (45+5'), Tel (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Preussen Munster and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Preussen Munster 1-3 Hertha Berlin
Tuesday, October 26 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
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Last Game: Bayern 7-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Preussen Munster 0-3 Bayern Munich

Although Bayern Munich are in fearsome form ahead of their trip to Munster, a tough league fixture coming up at the weekend means they may not go at full tilt in the DFB-Pokal. Even a much-changed team will have far too much quality for their hosts to withstand, though, and a place in the second round surely awaits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Preussen Munster had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 0-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Preussen Munster win it was 2-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Preussen MunsterDrawBayern Munich
17.71% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 19.73% (0.00099999999999767 0) 62.56% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.51% (0.025000000000006 0.03)36.48% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.37% (0.028999999999996 0.03)58.63% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Preussen Munster Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (0.031000000000006 0.03)33.89% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44% (0.034000000000002 0.03)70.56% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.82% (0.0049999999999955 0)11.18% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)35.67% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Preussen Munster 17.71%
    Bayern Munich 62.56%
    Draw 19.73%
Preussen MunsterDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 4.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 2.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 17.71%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.73%
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 9.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 6.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 3.94%
2-3 @ 3.89% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 3.64% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-5 @ 1.73%
0-5 @ 1.6%
2-5 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 62.56%

How you voted: Preussen Munster vs Bayern

Preussen Munster
4.0%
Draw
8.0%
Bayern Munich
88.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2014 3pm
First Round
Preussen Munster
1-4
Bayern
Krohne (89' pen.)
Heitmeier (91')
Gotze (19'), Muller (29'), Alaba (52'), Pizarro (73')
Shaqiri (37')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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