Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2024 at 5pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
St Pauli1 - 0Lyon
Schmitz (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Greuther Furth 2-0 St Pauli
Friday, July 19 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Friday, July 19 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Next Game: St Pauli vs. Slaven Koprivnica
Wednesday, July 24 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Wednesday, July 24 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Swarovski 2-3 Lyon
Friday, July 19 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Friday, July 19 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
We said: St Pauli 1-3 Lyon
Although Lyon may be without a couple of their new additions, they still have several new players in the squad who will be keen to make a positive impression, and we think that the French side will ultimately have enough quality to emerge victorious from Wednesday's friendly. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Lyon |
49.54% ( 0.01) | 22.75% ( 0.01) | 27.71% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.86% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.39% ( -0.05) | 38.61% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.09% ( -0.05) | 60.91% ( 0.05) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.15% ( -0.01) | 15.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.96% ( -0.02) | 45.04% ( 0.03) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.5% ( -0.04) | 26.49% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.31% ( -0.06) | 61.68% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
St Pauli 49.54%
Lyon 27.71%
Draw 22.75%
| St Pauli | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.38% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.72% Total : 49.54% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)1-4 @ 1% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 27.71% |
How you voted: St Pauli vs Lyon
St Pauli
12.5%Draw
0.0%Lyon
87.5%16
