Even though it has been a while since the Reggae Boys won a match, we believe they are due for a victory on Wednesday as this team have built some solid chemistry, and know how to handle the pressure of the Gold Cup.
Trinidad surprised many with a direct approach on Sunday, which overwhelmed Saint Kitts, but penetrating an experienced Jamaican backline and beating the top goalkeeper in MLS from 2022 promises to be a lot more challenging.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.
0.27) 
-0.19) 
