MX23RW : Sunday, May 11 12:23:03| >> :600:57623436:57623436:
USA national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 25, 2023 at 3am UK
Soldier Field
Jamaica national football team

USA
1 - 1
Jamaica

Vazquez (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lowe (13')
Lowe (3'), Lawrence (83'), Blake (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between USA and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Canada 0-2 USA
Monday, June 19 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Jordan
Monday, June 19 at 1pm in International Friendlies

We said: USA 2-0 Jamaica

The United States have perhaps the best talent pool to choose from in all of CONCACAF, and although many of those selected have not played together on the international stage, they should be familiar with one another as all but seven of them currently feature in MLS. For Jamaica, their golden generation is nearing its end, and their lack of cohesion could cost them this weekend against a side with a ton of attacking quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 79.62%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 4.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.88%) and 3-0 (13.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.71%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
USADrawJamaica
79.62% (-0.012 -0.01) 15.39% (0.18 0.18) 4.99% (-0.164 -0.16)
Both teams to score 27.59% (-1.32 -1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.22% (-1.325 -1.33)52.78% (1.331 1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.59% (-1.143 -1.14)74.41% (1.148 1.15)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.82% (-0.357 -0.36)11.18% (0.363 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.32% (-0.795 -0.8)35.68% (0.8 0.8)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
31.06% (-1.356 -1.36)68.94% (1.359 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.42% (-0.514 -0.51)94.58% (0.51799999999999 0.52)
Score Analysis
    USA 79.61%
    Jamaica 4.99%
    Draw 15.39%
USADrawJamaica
2-0 @ 18.5% (0.42 0.42)
1-0 @ 16.88% (0.62 0.62)
3-0 @ 13.51% (0.11 0.11)
4-0 @ 7.4% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.88% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.227 -0.23)
5-0 @ 3.24% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.168 -0.17)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.092 -0.09)
6-0 @ 1.18% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 0.94% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 79.61%
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.397 0.4)
1-1 @ 6.28% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 1.28% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 15.39%
0-1 @ 2.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 1.17% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 4.99%

How you voted: USA vs Jamaica

USA
Draw
Jamaica
USA
82.9%
Draw
5.7%
Jamaica
11.4%
35
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2021 10pm
Third Round
Jamaica
1-1
USA
Antonio (22')
Watson (8'), Brown (40')
Weah (11')
Oct 8, 2021 12.30am
Third Round
USA
2-0
Jamaica
Lawrence (1'), Lowe (34')
Jul 26, 2021 2.30am
Quarter-Finals
USA
1-0
Jamaica
Hoppe (83')

Burke (30'), Turgott (50'), Lowe (89')
Mar 25, 2021 5.20pm
Friendlies 1
USA
4-1
Jamaica
Dest (34'), Aaronson (53'), Lletget (83', 90')
Cannon (48')
Lowe (71')
Jul 4, 2019 2am
Semi-Finals
Jamaica
1-3
USA
Nicholson (69')
Watson (39'), Flemmings (43'), Vassell (49')
McKennie (9'), Pulisic (52', 87')
McKennie (31'), Altidore (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool35257381354682
2Arsenal351813464313367
3Manchester CityMan City36198967432465
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351961066452163
5Chelsea35189862412163
6Aston Villa3618995649763
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest351871054421261
8Brentford361671363531055
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton36141395956355
10Bournemouth3614111155431253
11Fulham36149135150151
12Crystal Palace351113114448-446
13Everton36915123944-542
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36125195164-1341
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd35109164251-939
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs35115196357638
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham35910164059-1937
RIpswich TownIpswich36410223577-4222
RLeicester CityLeicester3556242976-4721
RSouthampton3626282582-5712


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!