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Aris
Greek Superleague | Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadio Harilaou Kleanthis Vikelidis

Aris
3 - 2
Asteras

Zamora (16'), Moron (61'), Leismann (82' pen.)
Cuesta (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bartolo (28'), Mantzis (85')
Castano (45+6'), Papadopoulos (80'), Kaltsas (82')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Aris Thessaloniki and Asteras Tripolis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lamia 1-0 Aris
Sunday, August 27 at 5.15pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Asteras 3-0 OFI Crete
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.

Result
Aris ThessalonikiDrawAsteras Tripolis
58.01% (0.249 0.25) 25.12% (0.176 0.18) 16.87% (-0.432 -0.43)
Both teams to score 40.7% (-1.163 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.35% (-1.13 -1.13)59.64% (1.125 1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.03% (-0.874 -0.87)79.96% (0.869 0.87)
Aris Thessaloniki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (-0.354 -0.35)20.6% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (-0.557 -0.56)53.15% (0.551 0.55)
Asteras Tripolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.26% (-1.232 -1.23)48.74% (1.227 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.23% (-0.902 -0.9)83.77% (0.89700000000001 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Aris Thessaloniki 58%
    Asteras Tripolis 16.87%
    Draw 25.12%
Aris ThessalonikiDrawAsteras Tripolis
1-0 @ 15.86% (0.5 0.5)
2-0 @ 12.52% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 58%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.04% (0.418 0.42)
2-2 @ 3.24% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.1% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 0.98% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 16.87%

Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 17
Aris
3-0
Asteras
Garcia (19'), Leismann (32'), Camacho (89')
Sep 11, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Asteras
0-2
Aris
Gray (20'), Mbakata (60')
Feb 26, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 25
Asteras
0-2
Aris

Munafo (43'), Sito (52'), Barrales (53'), Atienza (61'), Regis (90+4')
Kamara (41'), Sasha (90+7')
Cuesta (72'), Sundgren (79'), Mancini (90'), Garcia (90+9')
Dec 5, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Aris
1-0
Asteras
Gama (41')
Jeggo (72')

Castano (29'), Riera (46'), Atienza (84')
Apr 25, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 6
Asteras
1-1
Aris
Rose (81' og.)
Christopoulos (35'), Pasalidis (90+3')
Mancini (74')
Sundgren (59'), Delizisis (65')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Aris ThessalonikiAris126331711621
2AEK AthensAEK Athens116321641221
3OlympiacosOlympiacos11632179821
4PAOKPAOK116231912720
5PanathinaikosPanathinaikos11542107319
6PanetolikosPanetolikos11533128418
7Asteras TripolisAsteras114431210216
8OFI CreteOFI Crete124441720-316
9AtromitosAtromitos114251616014
10Panserraikos124171622-613
11Volos124171018-813
12LevadiakosLevadiakos111641219-79
13LamiaLamia12156918-98
14Kallithea12075918-97


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