Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 4pm UK
Armenia Football Academy grass
Ararat-Armenia1 - 1Aris
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Ararat-Armenia and Aris Thessaloniki.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Egnatia Rrogozhine 4-4 Ararat-Armenia (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, July 20 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 20 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-1 Aris
Sunday, May 14 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Sunday, May 14 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat-Armenia win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ararat-Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ararat-Armenia | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
37.94% ( -0.01) | 27.99% ( -0) | 34.07% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 47.69% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.68% ( -0.01) | 58.32% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.06% ( -0.01) | 78.94% |
Ararat-Armenia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.29% ( -0.01) | 29.7% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.24% ( -0.01) | 65.76% ( 0) |
Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.85% ( -0) | 32.15% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.37% ( -0) | 68.63% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Ararat-Armenia 37.94%
Aris Thessaloniki 34.06%
Draw 27.99%
Ararat-Armenia | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
1-0 @ 11.59% 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 37.94% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.55% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.99% | 0-1 @ 10.83% 1-2 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.06% |
How you voted: Ararat-Armenia vs Aris
Ararat-Armenia
40.9%Draw
18.2%Aris Thessaloniki
40.9%22
Form Guide
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1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
8 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
10 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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