Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 19
Oct 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
MOL Arena Sosto (Szekesfehervar)
Fehervar3 - 1Varda SE
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Fehervar and Kisvarda.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fehervar 3-3 Zalaegerszegi TE
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Hungarian NB I
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-0 Varda SE
Sunday, September 24 at 4.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Sunday, September 24 at 4.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fehervar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fehervar | Draw | Varda SE |
42.63% ( 0.02) | 26.44% ( -0.04) | 30.92% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.51% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.91% ( 0.15) | 53.09% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.33% ( 0.13) | 74.67% ( -0.13) |
| Fehervar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.33% ( 0.08) | 24.67% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.8% ( 0.11) | 59.2% ( -0.11) |
| Varda SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( 0.09) | 31.63% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.96% ( 0.1) | 68.03% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
Fehervar 42.63%
Varda SE 30.93%
Draw 26.44%
| Fehervar | Draw | Varda SE |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.63% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.93% |
Form Guide
