MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 18:38:48| >> :60:1318:1318:
China national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 20, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Beijing National Stadium
Palestine national football team

China
2 - 0
Palestine

Lei (34'), Browning (65')
Qiuming (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Seyam (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between China and Palestine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

China

Last Game: China 4-0 Myanmar
Friday, June 16 at 11.30am in International Friendlies

Palestine

Last Game: Indonesia 0-0 Palestine
Wednesday, June 14 at 1.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: China 3-1 Palestine

 Given the plethora of attacking talent on display, we can see both sides getting on the scoresheet. That said, China boast the better squad on paper, and with the added advantage of playing on home turf, we are backing them to emerge victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Palestine had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Palestine win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that China would win this match.

Result
ChinaDrawPalestine
39.1% (-4.858 -4.86) 27.2% (4.736 4.74) 33.7% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 50.02% (-16.531 -16.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.63% (-21.449 -21.45)55.37% (21.444 21.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.42% (-20.798 -20.8)76.58% (20.794 20.79)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39% (-11.511 -11.51)27.61% (11.506 11.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86% (-17.64 -17.64)63.14% (17.635 17.64)
Palestine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (-10.224 -10.22)30.9% (10.221 10.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81% (-13.923 -13.92)67.19% (13.918 13.92)
Score Analysis
    China 39.09%
    Palestine 33.69%
    Draw 27.19%
ChinaDrawPalestine
1-0 @ 10.97% (4.89 4.89)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.453 -0.45)
2-0 @ 7.07% (1.514 1.51)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-1.768 -1.77)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.349 -0.35)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-2.107 -2.11)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-1.287 -1.29)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.568 -0.57)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 39.09%
1-1 @ 12.89% (3.307 3.31)
0-0 @ 8.53% (5.201 5.2)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-2.023 -2.02)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 10.01% (4.763 4.76)
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.88% (1.748 1.75)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-1.003 -1)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-1.715 -1.72)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 33.69%

How you voted: China vs Palestine

China
84.8%
Draw
9.1%
Palestine
6.1%
33
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2018 12pm
International Friendlies
China
1-1
Palestine
Xiaoting (9')
Pinto (62')
Tamburrini (76')
rhs 2.0
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