World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Feb 1, 2022 at 12pm UK

Vietnam
3 - 1
China

Tai Ho (9'), Linh Nguyen (16'), Duc Phan (76')
Tai Ho (45+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Xin (90+7')
Xi (5'), Aloisio (35'), Xin (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Vietnam and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Vietnam might be playing with less pressure than China, knowing that there is nothing at stake for them, but the Chinese have more experience and individual quality than their opponents, who cannot seem to do much more than keep a game close for a while. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vietnam win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for China had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vietnam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest China win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vietnam would win this match.

Result
Vietnam	Draw	China
39.07%	24.27%	36.66%

Both teams to score 60.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.76%

42.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.35%

64.65%

Vietnam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.33%

21.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.19%

54.81%

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.1%

22.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.35%

56.65%

Score Analysis

Vietnam 39.07%

China 36.66%

Draw 24.27%

Vietnam	Draw	China
2-1 @ 8.55% 1-0 @ 7.59% 2-0 @ 5.8% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.57% Total : 39.07%	1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.27%	1-2 @ 8.25% 0-1 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 5.39% 1-3 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 3.1% 0-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.29% Total : 36.66%