MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 08:16:51| >> :120:5506:5506:
New Zealand national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 26, 2023 at 4am UK
Westpac Stadium
China national football team

New Zealand
2 - 1
China

Zhu (42' og.), Garbett (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dun (90+2')
Xin (56'), Liangming (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between New Zealand and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: New Zealand 0-0 China
Thursday, March 23 at 6am in International Friendlies

China

Last Game: New Zealand 0-0 China
Thursday, March 23 at 6am in International Friendlies

We said: New Zealand 0-0 China

 New Zealand are ranked 25 places below China, but the hosts were arguably the better side before being reduced to 10 men - even if Bazeley's insistence that they were "awesome" is something of a stretch. With the full compliment on the pitch for 90 minutes, New Zealand have an even better chance of avoiding defeat once again - although, that debilitating goal drought threatens to drag on if Wood continues to be sidelined. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 64.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for China had a probability of 15.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.

Result
New ZealandDrawChina
64.03% (0.041000000000004 0.04) 20.56% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 15.41% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.59% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.32% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)44.68% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)67.05% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)13.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.97% (0.00099999999999767 0)40.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.31% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)41.69% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.84% (-0.061 -0.06)78.16% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    New Zealand 64.03%
    China 15.41%
    Draw 20.56%
New ZealandDrawChina
2-0 @ 11.28% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.16% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.6% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.84% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.36%
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.55% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 64.03%
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 20.56%
0-1 @ 4.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 15.41%

How you voted: New Zealand vs China

New Zealand
58.3%
Draw
25.0%
China
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2023 6am
Friendlies 1
New Zealand
0-0
China

Garbett (31')
Smith (63')

Long (10'), Linpeng (51')
rhs 2.0
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