Friendlies 1

Jun 19, 2023 at 1pm UK

Hong Kong Stadium (Hong Kong)

Hong Kong
0 - 1
Thailand

Huang (7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dangda (63')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Hong Kong and Thailand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Thailand

Last Game: Chinese Taipei 2-2 Thailand
Friday, June 16 at 12pm in International Friendlies

We said: Hong Kong 1-2 Thailand

Hong Kong and Thailand have struggled to get going of late and will be looking to pick up a morale-boosting result on Monday. However, we predict that the War Elephants will build on their draw against Chinese Taipei and claim a narrow victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Thailand had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Thailand win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Thailand would win this match.

Result
Hong Kong	Draw	Thailand
43.96% ( 22.58)	22.46% ( -0.99)	33.58% ( -21.6)

Both teams to score 66.55% (

14.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.08% (

13.96)

33.93% (

-13.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.22% (

14.29)

55.78% (

-14.29)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.9% (

20.64)

16.1% (

-20.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.5% (

28.03)

45.5% (

-28.03)

Thailand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.32% (

-3.47)

20.68% (

3.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.73% (

-5.77)

53.27% (

5.77)

Score Analysis

Hong Kong 43.96%

Thailand 33.58%

Draw 22.46%

Hong Kong	Draw	Thailand
2-1 @ 8.75% ( 3.17) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 2.38) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 3.47) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 2.56) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 2.32) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 1.97) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( 1.51) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 1.28) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.77) Other @ 3.77% Total : 43.96%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( -1.56) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 1.99) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( -3) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( 1.25) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.46%	1-2 @ 7.55% ( -2.25) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -5.87) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( -5.66) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -1.78) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.75) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -3.57) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.97) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.89% Total : 33.58%