We said: Israel 3-0 Cyprus
Israel are coming into this clash high on confidence after a dramatic win against a good Zambia side, and will be expected to make it back-to-back wins here.
Cyprus are in a bad way of late and have not won away from home since before the pandemic halted football in 2020, so it is hard to see them posing much of a threat for their hosts on Sunday afternoon.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 79.01%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 7.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.87%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.