Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Qatar in this match.